Decoding Trump’s trade strategy: The historical pattern beneath the headlines

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Open this photo in gallery: President Donald Trump waves to the media as he walks on South Lawn of the White House, in Washington, Sunday, March 9, 2025. (AP Photo/Jose Luis Magana)Jose Luis Magana/The Associated Press Marvin Suesse is an economic historian at Trinity College Dublin, and Laurence B. Mussio is a co-founder and chair of the Long Run Institute. U.S. President Donald Trump loves throwing opponents off balance. This unpredictability makes foretelling his administration’s policy priorities all the harder. Nowhere is this more evident than in trade policy. Three distinct interpretations have emerged: the Bluff Thesis, the Reckless Driver...