Taiwan election outcome will determine if China will ‘invade’

The evolving dynamics in the Taiwan Strait, compounded by the growing interests of major powers in Taiwan, have further complicated the situation. China leveraged former US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan in August 2022 as grounds to conduct live-fire drills, underscoring the persistent spectre of invasion in Beijing's strategic calculations. During President Tsai Ing-wen's tenure, cross-Strait relations saw a significant deterioration, with Taiwan emerging as a point of contention in China-US relations. Since 2016, when the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) assumed power, China has halted cross-Strait dialogue due to the DPP's reluctance to embrace the 1992 consensus as…